It seems a lot of journalists don’t really understand our sport. This is based solely on the questions to Lewis this week which have basically assumed that he’s won already. They’ve already asked him if they think winning will change him. This is the most stupid question ever because a) he hasn’t won yet and b) what answer is he going to give other than “no”?

If they’d been following Formula 1 for any amount of time they’d remember Murray’s old adage, “anything can happen in Formula 1, and it usually does.”

Cast your mind back to Silverstone earlier this year. Lewis finished in third losing two points to Alonso. Two weeks later at the European Grand Prix Lewis failed to score while Alonso romped to victory. Twelve points lost in just two races. It’s already happened this season if it happened like that again Alonso would be world champion for the third time. This isn’t over.

So what could possibly stop Lewis scoring ten points this weekend. Well there’s the fact that there’s a high probability of rain this weekend. This always makes things less predictable. Also Lewis doesn’t have to win so he may think about driving defensively. If he does he could easily get caught out in the rain. Being at the front is as vital as ever.

Also he’s under investigation for erratic driving behind the safety car. To my mind it looked like he was moving out of the way of a big puddle, realised he’d moved onto the short side of the corner and was about to hit the safety car and so he slowed down. I don’t think he should be punished but he might be. He could be moved back ten places off of the grid. Which would be bad enough for him, but he could also have his win deleted from the last race. That would specifically help Kimi who would suddenly be up in second for Japan. And of course Alonso might only be two points behind Lewis. Just remember to keep all this in mind while you make your predictions.

So what about the race? It would probably be a Ferrari track although the margin is lessened in the wet. Kimi also was going fantastically last year before his car fell apart, so expect that car to be a potent package. Indeed he was fastest in practice one.

Don’t forget that Alonso is usually mega in the wet. He’d been hit last race which compromised him (he’d lost ten percent of his downforce according to Ron Dennis). This could be a hard one to win.

All in all Lewis might need something extra if he’s going to keep the luck flowing his way. But as the circuit looks like a bunny rabbit perhaps he should camp out on the foot?

Good Luck.