Everyone and their grandmother seems to be so I figure I should jump on the band waggon too. But how can Ferrari, MaLaren, Renault, Honda and Toyota all feel confident after the test? The answer is some of them must be lying.

Actually this feeds into a wider point. All of the teams I just mentioned and Williams and BMW all want to win the world championship. The others at least know that they never will although I’m not so sure about Red Bull. So lets say eight teams want to win the championship. This is crazy because at least one of them is going to come eighth. And if you’ve been gleaning money out of your paymaster overlords for years on the promise of a win how do you explain eighth place to them?

Okay so Red Bull will be happy whatever happens for the next few years. Williams are upset this year but will be attempting to build for the next few seasons during a period of renewal. And maybe that’s how it works. It can’t just be money because otherwise Toyota would be winning all the time.

But you’ve got to say with odds of one in eight of winning even after 100 Million dollars invested each year you’ve got to have some serious balls to turn round to your bosses and say, “lets play again, you see I’ve got this system it can’t fail. This time we’re going to win”.